redistribution

ABS Population Statistics confirm no change to State Representation for the Next Federal Election

(Update 23 July: the Electoral Commissioner’s determination has been published in the government gazette today. You can find it here.

The official calculations are the same as the ones in this post except the Territories have slightly higher numbers after adding in Norfolk Island and Jervis Bay to the ACT, and Christmas Island and Cocos Keeling Island to the Northern Territory.)

(Original post from 18 June follows)

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has today released state population figures for the last quarter of 2025. These numbers confirm that there will be no change to state representation in the House of Representatives for the next Federal election.

The interest had been whether Queensland would be entitled to an extra seat for its twice delayed redistribution of Federal electoral boundaries.

Under the 7-year rule, Queensland had been due to have a redistribution begin in March 2025. Clearly this wasn’t possible with a Federal election due.

The redistribution should have started after the election along with the redistributions in Tasmania, South Australia and the ACT.

The Queensland redistribution was officially deferred until after a determination on state representation by the Electoral Commissioner to be made in July 2026

If Queensland was going to be allocated a 31st seat, there was no point starting a redistribution for 30 seats. The Australian Bureau of Statistics figures released today confirm that Queensland will remain with 30 members.

No change in state numbers will become official in July when the Australian Electoral Commissioner Jeff Pope issues a formal determination of the number of House members to be elected form each state and territory. The determination is always made one year after the first sitting of the House of Representatives following an election.

Commissioner Pope has no personal choice in making the determination as the method is strictly defined in law. For states the Commissioner will apply the formula set out in Section 24 of the Constitution. For the Territories the Commissioner will use the formula set out in the Electoral Act. The Constitution also states that the Commissioner will use the “latest statistics of the Commonwealth”, a phrase the High Court and Parliament has determined will be the quarterly population statistics. Today’s ABS release of last December’s statistics is the population numbers that Commissioner Pope will use.

The precise calculations around how seats are allocated is explained inside this post.

Once the new numbers are officially announced at the end of July, a redistribution of Queensland federal boundaries will commence based on re-drawing the existing 30 seats. The new boundaries will be in place for the next election due in 2028.Read More »ABS Population Statistics confirm no change to State Representation for the Next Federal Election

FED26 Redistributions – ACT Draft Boundaries

Draft federal electoral boundaries for the ACT’s three House of Representatives’ seats have been released this morning. The redistribution has been required under the Electoral Act’s seven-year rule where boundaries are periodically re-drawn to bring electorate enrolments back within permitted variation from quota.

The draft boundaries have proved to be more complex than expected. Rather than a simple transfer of voters from the southern seat of Bean to central Canberra with the northern seat of Fenner left unchanged, the Redistribution has adopted a more extensive proposal that alters all three electorates. My estimated new margins are shown below with more detail inside the post.

ACT Federal Redistribution (Draft) – Summary of Margin Changes
Old Boundaries New Boundaries Shift
Bean (ALP v LIB) ALP 19.3% ALP 19.4% +0.1 ALP
Bean (ALP v IND) ALP 0.3% ALP 1.4% +1.1 ALP
Canberra (ALP v LIB) ALP 26.4% ALP 26.1% -0.3 ALP
Canberra (ALP v GRN) ALP 19.5% ALP 19.5% No change
Fenner (ALP v LIB) ALP 22.1% ALP 22.3% +0.2 ALP

Note: The Labor versus Independent calculation for Bean has added the vote for the Independent in Canberra to the vote for Jess Price in Bean. This probably underestimates the support Price might have received in the added areas but it is not really possible to estimate how Price might have polled. After transferring the primary votes I’ve applied the preference distribution for Bean. This produces a 1.4% major which I suspect is a little higher than it should be. I’ll have a think if there is a better method for the final boundaries later in the year.

The method I normally use is to use the ratio of Senate to House vote for the larger parties. That method is not possible in the ACT because the success of Independent David Pocock in the Senate means all other parties have a lower Senate vote than House vote.

More detail on the redistribution and much more on the ins and outs of each division inside the post.Read More »FED26 Redistributions – ACT Draft Boundaries

FED26 Redistribution – Tasmania Draft Boundaries

Last Friday the Australian Electoral Commission issued draft electoral boundaries for Tasmania. It was the first of this year’s round of federal redistributions.

Draft boundaries for the ACT will be released in a fortnight, South Australia some time after the state election to avoid confusion, and a Queensland federal redistribution will get underway in July.

If the Albanese government goes ahead with rumoured plans to increase the size of the parliament, then all five mainland states will require redistributions before the next election. Tasmania and the two territories would be untouched by an expansion of parliamkent.

But first Tasmania.

Full details of the proposed boundaries can be found at the Australian Electoral Commission’s website. This includes details on how to make comment on or object to the new boundaries.

As I will explain in this post, the Redistribution Committee has abandoned its recent habit of engaging in incremental redistributions, boundaries adjusted at the edges to minimise the number of voters transferred between electorates.

In Tasmania, the proposed boundaries re-arrange the electoral geography of southern Tasmania. Just over a quarter of the state’s electors are moved between seats. The southern seats of Clark and Franklin split in two and re-assembled with a series of rotational swaps through the central seat of Lyons.

The Committee has decided to tackle the state’s most peculiar electoral boundary, the division of the southern seat of Franklin in two by neighbouring Clark. All means of transport between the two ends of Franklin pass through Clark, the seat covering all of central Hobart west of the Derwent River. Franklin covers the eastern shore of Hobart, plus Kingston and all populated parts of the state south of Hobart.

That Franklin has evolved this peculiar geography has roots that go back to Federation. When boundaries were first drawn in 1903, Clark (then known as Denison) covered Hobart on the western shore of the Derwent River at a time when few lived to the east. In 1903 Franklin was the state’s largest electorate in area, extending deep into central Tasmania and completely surrounded Denison. The state’s other three electorates were clustered in northern Tasmania.

Over many decades, as the population of southern Tasmania grew faster than the rest of the state, Franklin contracted south. As Hobart grew in the post-war era, new bridges across the Derwent allowed suburbia to spread to the eastern shore. Areas south of Hobart also grew. Incremental boundary changes turned a Franklin that surrounded Denison into an electorate with two distinct ends.

Federal electorates are so large it is difficult to get a single community of interest that covers an electorate. But no electorate in the country is as geographically divided as Franklin. With Clark (formerly Denison) well under quota, expansion was required with the possibility it would make the boundaries for Franklin even more illogical.

So the Committee has gone for a big bang change more likely to cope with future population shifts. Both Clark and Franklin have been split in two and re-arranged with a rotation of voters through the southern part of the central seat of Lyons.

In terms of two-party politics the new boundaries have little impact. But Clark is held by Independent Andrew Wilkie, and Franklin in 2025 saw a strong challenge from Independent Peter George. He has since gone on to win one of Franklin’s seven seats in state parliament. The proposed boundaries for Clark and Franklin drastically re-arrange Independent support.

It’s best for me to explain the change seat by seat. Note: maps have been taken from the redistribution report and are published by the Australian Electoral Commission.Read More »FED26 Redistribution – Tasmania Draft Boundaries

FED25 – A Plethora of Estimated Margins and Problems with the AEC Version

In a pre-Christmas treat for election nerds, the Australian Electoral Commission is about to publish its estimated seat margins for next year’s Federal election.

The 2025 Federal election will be fought on new electoral boundaries following redistributions in New South Wales, Victoria and Western Australia. There has also been a redistribution in the Northern Territory though those boundaries are yet to be formally gazetted into place.

Earlier this month I published my estimates of post-redistribution margins. These are the margins I recommend the ABC should use at the 2025 election. (The post includes links to an alphabetic list of electorates and all new margins plus a new pendulum.

Having been asked my opinion of the AEC’s estimated new margins, I agree with the AEC in 137 of the 150 seats, am in close agreement on another four, but disagree on nine seats to varying degrees.

These nine seats are contests that did not finish as traditional two-party preferred races between Labor and the Coalition in 2022, and where there have been significant boundary changes.

Inside this post I have published a table that includes my estimated margins for these nine seats, as well as the AEC’s, and two other estimates published by prominent election observers, Ben Raue of the Tallyroom website, and William Bowe of the Pollbludger website.

(The AEC’s estimates are now available. You can find them at this link.)

In some entries in the table, the AEC’s estimates differ from the values that Ben, William and I calculated independently. In other entries the different methodologies adopted mean there are a range of possible estimated margins.

In this post I’ll run through detail on where there is disagreement.

But I need to make clear I am in no way suggesting there is a problem with how the AEC will conduct the 2025 election.Read More »FED25 – A Plethora of Estimated Margins and Problems with the AEC Version

FED25 Election – New Seat Margins and Electoral Pendulum

At the 2025 Federal election, more than half of seats in the House of Representatives will be contested on new electoral boundaries.

In this post I summarise the state of play going into the election and provide estimated margins for all seats affected by the redistribution. You can find a listing of margins for all seats at this link.

The above document lists traditional two-party preferred margins for all seats, but also alternative two-candidate preferred margins in seats that were not contests between Labor and the Coalition in 2022.

There were a record 27 seats in 2022 that did not finish as contests between Labor and Coalition candidates. There is every chance this number could increase in 2025, with analysis of results further complicated by the new electoral boundaries.

I’ve tried to create a new electoral pendulum that summarises the party contest for 2025. You can find the pendulum at this link.

The pendulum groups seats by holding party, simplified to Labor, Coalition and ‘Other’ groupings. Within each party grouping, seats are listed in margin order. Second placed party is also shown for seats that were not Labor versus Coalition contests in 2022.

The problem with this layout is that it mixes two-party and two-candidate margins. The ordering allows you to identify marginal seats, but makes it impossible to apply uniform two-party preferred swing to try and predict seat numbers. It is best to skip over the ‘Other’ contest seats in applying two-party swing.

On a third page of the pendulum document I’ve added mini-pendulums that set out margins for Labor versus Others and Coalition versus Others contests. For several electorates where Labor and the Greens compete on first preferences to make the final contest versus the Coalition, I have also provided an estimated primary vote margin.

There’s more about the redistribution and information on how the new margins have been calculated inside this post.Read More »FED25 Election – New Seat Margins and Electoral Pendulum

2024 Federal Redistributions – Final Boundaries for NSW Released

(22 November – I’ve been through and finalised the split and merged SA1s to produce my final version of the margins. They have been incorporated into the table inside the post.)

(UPDATE – the final boundaries have been released confirming the abolition of North Sydney. There are some very minor changes of at most 0.1% and these have been updated in the table.)

(UPDATE – Friday 13 September – a discrepancy where the new electorate file coded Mcmahon rather than McMahon caused an error in my calculations. The significant changes are that Blaxland drops back from 13.9% to 13.1% while the new margin for McMahon is now 10.5% as opposed to the original estimate of 13.1%. There is also a minor adjustment for Fowler.

On Thursday 12 September, the Redistribution Committee for New South Wales released the final version of the state’s new Federal electoral boundaries. Draft boundaries were released in June and opened for public comment. This final version will be formally gazetted later this month and used for the first time at next year’s Federal election.

The redistribution has taken place to decrease the number of NSW federal divisions from 47 to 46. The final boundaries have confirmed the abolition of the Independent held seat of North Sydney.

The draft boundaries were released when I was overseas so this post is my first analysis of the draft boundaries. Today’s release includes a string small number of minor adjustments to the draft boundaries, none of which alter the analysis in this post. I will make minor adjustments to this post once the AEC publishes the datafiles required for calculations, sometime next month.

Re-calculating margins is a complex task of processing AEC polling place data files on where people voted in 2022 and comparing them with Bureau of Statistics files listing the low level SA1 (Statistical Area 1) composition of new electorates. Complicating the process is a re-numbering of many SA1s between the 2016 and 2021 Censuses. The 2022 AEC files used the old SA1 identifiers and the new electorate files use the new SA1 identifier. This has required a lot of fiddling with data to resolve inconsistencies between SA1 identifiers. Not all of the SA1 inconsistencies could be resolved but I do not believe they significantly affect any calculations.

The AEC will release its own versions of new margins next year as the election approaches. The AEC has many more resources to resolve SA1 inconsistencies and splits than are available to me.

Change in Seat Numbers

Change in Seats Held by Party
ALP LIB NAT GRN IND Total
Old boundaries 26 9 7 .. 5 47
New boundaries 25 10 7 .. 4 46

Based on traditional two-party preferred results, including for the underlying Labor-Coalition nature of Independent held seats, the changes in two-party preferred holdings are –

  • Old Boundaries 2PP: Labor 27, Coalition 20 (Liberal 13, National 7)
  • New Boundaries 2PP: Labor 26, Coalition 20 (Liberal 13, National 7)

The changes are brought about by the abolition of Independent-held North Sydney, a flow on impact of which is to flip neighbouring Bennelong from being a marginal Labor seat to as very marginal Liberal seat.

The three-way carve up of North Sydney along council boundaries is shown in the map below.

The main political implications of the changes are –

  • A relative decline in enrolment on Sydney’s lower north shore and northern beaches suburbs required a seat to be abolished north of the harbour, and as predicted before the process began, North Sydney has been abolished and divided between the re-drawn seats of Bennelong, Bradfield and Warringah.
  • There was also a shortfall south of the harbour but this has been fixed by a shift west and south-west of all boundaries to absorb a significant surplus of enrolments in south-west Sydney.
  • The Liberal electorate of Hume has also become an urban seat, shedding almost of all of its rural areas along the Hume Highway north of the ACT. It is now based on Camden in Sydney’s outer south-west fringe, along with western Parts of Liverpool Council and semi-rural Wollondilly Shire to the south. Geographically the changes are massive but the Liberal margin declines only slightly, from 7.7% to 6.9%.
  • The abolition of North Sydney is bad new for Independent Kylea Tink, but neighbouring Independents Sophie Scamps in Mackellar and Zali Staggall in Warringah retain their margins. There are few changes to the boundaries the western Sydney seat of Fowler won by Independent Dai Le in 2022.
  • In Wentworth, Independent Allegra Spender is significantly strengthened. Wentworth is a traditional Liberal seat but surrounding by Labor voting territory. By expanding into neighbouring Sydney and Kingsford Smith, Wentworth’s underlying Liberal 2-party preferred margin declines from 5.9% to 1.2%. Estimating a new Independent margin for the areas added to the seat is difficult, but a best estimate is that the addition of areas with weaker Liberal support boosts the Independent margin from 4.2% to 6.6%.
  • In Bradfield, Liberal MP Paul Fletcher faced a significant Independent challenge in 2022 that reduced his margin to just 4.2% versus an Independent. By shifting south and picking up parts of North Sydney, his margin is reduced to 2.5%. His Independent challenger from 2022, Nicolette Boele, has already announced she will contest the next election. It is unclear whether Kylea Tink will also contest Bradfield if the final boundaries confirm the abolition of her seat.
  • As already mentions, the abolition of North Sydney turns Bennelong from a marginal Labor seat to a very marginal Liberal sea.
  • By losing its Labor-voting southern end and extending north of Windsor Road, Michelle Rowland’s Labor seat of Greenway has its margin cut from 11.5% to an estimated 8.1%. As has been shown in the past, if the Liberal Party can select a good candidate, Greenway is a more marginal seat than it often appears on paper.
  • The Liberal margin for Hughes is cut from 7.0% to 3.6% as it loses Liberal voting areas near Sutherland and is pushed west beyond the Georges River to gain Labor voting territory from Weriwa and Macarthur. (There may changes to the construction of Hughes in the final boundaries.) There were no changes with the final boundaries.
  • In the Hunter valley, the transfer for Kurri Kurri strengthens Labor in Hunter but weakens its position in Paterson.
  • The National margin in Riverina declines from 14.8% to a still safe 9.7% after picking up parts of Eden-Monaro and Hume.

The new margin estimates in this post have not taken into account the adjustments included in the final boundaries. However, the list of adjustments released seem unlikely to change the estimated margins below.

Seat tables can be found inside the post.Read More »2024 Federal Redistributions – Final Boundaries for NSW Released

2024 Federal Redistributions – Final Boundaries for Victoria Released

(20 November – the tables in this post have been updated taking account of the final boundaries and incorporating split and merged SA1s. The complex way that final descriptions are released has made it difficult for me to update the transfers listed in the table but the margins have been updated.)

(Updated Friday 6 September with maps and more details on Chisholm, Deakin, Goldstein, Kooyong, Melbourne, Menzies and Wills. Estimated margins for Independent contests will be added later today..)

On Thursday 5 September the Redistribution Committee for Victoria released the fin al version of the state’s new Federal electoral boundaries. Draft boundaries were released in May and opened for public comment. This final version will be formally gazetted later this month and used for the first time at next year’s Federal election.

The redistribution has taken place to decrease the number of Victorian federal divisions from 39 to 38. The final boundaries have confirmed the abolition of the Labor seat of seat of Higgins in inner-eastern Melbourne.

Today’s release has included a string of minor adjustments to the draft boundaries, none of which appear significant to me. The release does not include the datafiles that permit new margins to be calculated. I won’t update the margins shown inside this post until the datafiles are released.

Re-calculating margins is a complex task of processing AEC polling place data files on where people voted in 2022 and comparing them with Bureau of Statistics files listing the low level SA1 (Statistical Area 1) composition of new electorates. Complicating the process is a re-numbering of many SA1s between the 2016 and 2021 Censuses. The 2022 AEC files used the old SA1 identifiers and the new electorate files use the new SA1 identifier. This has required a lot of fiddling with data to resolve inconsistencies between SA1 identifiers.

In my analysis of the draft boundaries in May I had to manually resolve these problems. I’ve managed to code the corrections this time though there are still a few inconsistencies that can’t be resolved by me. A number of the margins in this post have altered since May using the better correction method. The AEC will eventually release their own versions of new margins in the new year and they have a lot more resources than me to resolve SA1 inconsistencies and splits.

What this post does not yet do is take into account the adjustments in the final release of boundaries. I can’t do these calculations until the AEC release the maps and data files.

I have also not added estimated margins for a couple of Independent seats. That requires some manual re-calculations that I will do later today.

Change in Seat Numbers

Change in Seats Held by Party
ALP LIB NAT GRN IND Total
Old boundaries 24 8 3 1 3 39
New boundaries 24 7 3 1 3 38
With by-elections 25 6 3 1 3 38

Note: By-election line takes account of Labor winning Aston from the Liberal Party at an April 2023 by-election. Table does not take account of the decision by Monash MHR Russell Broadbent to resign from the Liberal Party and become an Independent.

Based on the two-party preferred results, including the underlying Labor-Coalition nature of Independent and Greens held seat, the changes in two-party preferred holdings are –

  • Old Boundaries 2PP: Labor 25, Coalition 14 (Liberal 11, National 3)
  • New Boundaries 2PP: Labor 25, Coalition 13 (Liberal 10, National 3)
  • Including by-elections: Labor 26, Coalition 12 (Liberal 9, National 3)

The main political implications of the changes are –

  • The Labor seat of Higgins is abolished.
  • Labor’s position in Wills is significantly weakened with the inclusion of strong Greens voting areas around Brunswick East, Carlton North and Fitzroy North. The Labor margin versus the Greens is reduced from 8.6% to an estimated 4.6%.
  • The transfer of strong Labor voting areas to Menzies, replaced by marginal Liberal country from Higgins and Kooyong, weakens Labor’s position in Chisholm, an estimated halving of the Labor margin from 6.4% to 3.2%.
  • The Liberal marginal seats of Deakin and Menzies in eastern Melbourne become even more marginal with Menzies flipping to become a notional Labor seat.
  • The strongest Liberal voting parts of Higgins have been transferred to Kooyong, held by Independent MP Dr Monique Ryan. Estimating support for an Independent in areas they did not contest at the last election, but my best estimate is that Ryan’s margin is reduced from 2.9% to 1.8%.
  • The boundary changes for Goldstein are estimated to increase the margin of Independent Zoe Daniel from 2.9% to 3.1%.

None of the estimates in this post take account of the changes announced with the release of the final boundaries. I do not believe that any of the final changes have much impact on marginal seats.

Seat tables can be found inside the post.Read More »2024 Federal Redistributions – Final Boundaries for Victoria Released

2024 Federal Redistribution – Final Boundaries for Western Australia Released

Update Tuesday 24 September – the redistribution has been finalised and all maps and data released.

Update Friday 22 November – I took a fine toothed comb to SA1s that were split or merged in the redistribution and have re-calculated margins. No major changes and the final estimates have been included in the table.

On Thursday 5 September, the Redistribution Committee for Western Australia released the state’s new Federal electoral boundaries. Draft boundaries were released in May and opened for public comment. This final version will be formally gazetted later this month and will be used for the first time at next year’s Federal election.

The redistribution has taken place to increase the number of WA federal divisions from 15 to 16.

The original post follows.

A new division called Bullwinkel has been created covering Perth’s outer east and the rural Avon Valley to the east. A map of the new electorate is included in this post. The name Bullwinkel honours Lieutenant Colonel Vivian Bullwinkel AO MBE ARRC ED FNM FRCNA (1915–2000), a civilian and military nurse who was the sole survivor of the 1942 Bangka Island massacre and a prisoner of war. The name recognises her dedication to honouring victims of war crimes, service to nursing, and the community, in both her civilian and military service. This electoral division name also honours the contribution of military medical personnel and recognises those who were prisoners of war.

The final boundaries have been released and involve only minor changes. These are –

  • Waroona Shire remains in Canning where the draft moved it into Forrest.
  • The suburb of Malaga remains in Cowan having originally been proposed for transfer to Hasluck.
  • Part of Kardinya remains in Fremantle after having been proposed for transfer to Tangney.
  • Part of Leeming proposed to be in Fremantle is now in Tangney.

These are very minor changes and the data files required to re-calculate margins will not be available for several weeks. I will update the post when they are available.

At this state the page and its included tables reflect the draft boundaries released earlier this year. I have noted where there are changes but doubt these will have any significant impact on the estimated new margins shown.

The political implications of the boundaries are –

  • The new seat of Bullwinkel is a notional Labor seat using the unusually good Labor results at the 2022 federal election. At a more normal election, and without a sitting member, Bullwinkel will be very difficult seat for Labor to notionally retain.
  • The creation of Bullwinkel results in a significant strengthening of Labor’s position in Hasluck, the Labor margin increasing from 6.0% to 10.0%.
  • Curtin sees only a minor change to boundaries meaning the redistribution has no impact on Liberal attempts to defeat Independent Kate Chaney.
  • Labor’s other marginal seats see only minor changes, Pearce’s Labor margin now 8.8%, Swan 9.4% and Tangney 2.9%.
  • On paper the Liberal margin in Canning is reduced to 1.1% but sitting MP Andrew Hastie would only be in trouble if Labor had an increase in its vote compared to 2022, a scenario that does not seem likely.
  • Moore remains a marginal seat, but less important than the redistribution is Ian Goodenough being replaced as Liberal candidate by Vince Connelly. If Goodenough were to re-contest as an Independent or National Party (one rumour) candidate, it would create a more complex contest.
Change in Seats Held by Party
Labor Liberal Independent Total
Old boundaries 9 5 1 15
New boundaries 10 5 1 16

Based on the two-party preferred results, including the underlying Labor-Coalition nature of the Independent held seat of Curtin, the changes in two-party preferred holdings is –

  • Old Boundaries 2PP: Labor 9, Liberal 6
  • New Boundaries 2PP: Labor 10, Liberal 6

Tables summarising the impact of the redistribution on each seat is included inside the post.
Read More »2024 Federal Redistribution – Final Boundaries for Western Australia Released

Draft South Australian Electoral Boundaries Released

The South Australian Electoral Districts Boundaries Commission (EDBC) has this morning released its draft version of new state electoral boundaries. The draft boundaries are open for comment and will be finalised later this year.

The EDBC’s home page for the redistribution can be found here.

I’m a bit busy with Northern Territory election preparation so don’t have much time to offer comment. Helpfully the EDBC is the only redistribution authority in Australia that releases estimated margins for new seats.

Here’s what I find the most noteworthy points in the EDBC report.
Read More »Draft South Australian Electoral Boundaries Released

Proposed Federal Electoral Boundaries Released for Western Australia

The Australian Electoral Commission (AEC) will release draft electoral boundaries for Western Australia on Friday, the time provisionally set for lunchtime AEST. Western Australia will be gaining a seat in the redistribution, the number of members to be elected at the next election increased from 15 to 16 seats.

Once the draft boundaries are released I’ll give a brief comment on the newly created seat, but it will take time and some serious number crunching to work out the full consequences of the new boundaries.

I’ve now double checked every discrepancy and my figures are final.

The major changes are that the new seat of Bullwinkel is a marginal Labor seat, Hasluck is made safer for Labor and Canning is made more marginal for the Liberal Party.

The new electorate is named in honour of Lieutenant Colonel Vivian Bullwinkel AO MBE ARRC ED FNM FRCNA (1915–2000), a civilian and military nurse who was the sole survivor of the 1942 Bangka Island massacre and a prisoner of war. The name recognises her dedication to honouring victims of war crimes, service to nursing, and the community, in both her civilian and military service. This electoral division name also honours the contribution of military medical personnel and recognises those who were prisoners of war.

The table below of seats held by party will be updated during my various parses of the data.

Change in Seats Held by Party
Labor Liberal Independent Total
Old boundaries 9 5 1 15
New boundaries 10 5 1 16

Based on the two-party preferred results, including the underlying Labor-Coalition nature of the Independent held seat of Curtin, the changes in two-party preferred holdings are –

  • Old Boundaries 2PP: Labor 9, Liberal 6
  • New Boundaries 2PP: Labor 10, Liberal 6

A seat table comparing margins can be found inside the post.Read More »Proposed Federal Electoral Boundaries Released for Western Australia