SA2026 – Some Early Observations on the Result
(UPDATE: I’ve started doing rolling updates of the overall figures that you can find in this post. For more details figures on each seat and regular updates my suggestion is use the ABC election site which will update results every time the Electoral Commission produces new data. I’m doing work on the site weeding out inconsistencies in the Electoral Commission’s data.)
The scale of the Liberal Party’s disastrous result at Saturday’s South Australian election is hard to comprehend for anyone with a background in Australian political history.
Australia has had a stable dominant two party system for eight decades since the formation of the Liberal Party in the 1940s. On one side of politics is the Labor Party, on the other the Liberal-National Coalition in Canberra, or the Liberal Party on its own in South Australia.
For one of Australia’s two major parties, the South Australian Liberal Party, to perform so badly is a political earthquake. The Liberal Party has been beaten into third place with just 19.0% of the first preference vote. (As of Monday afternoon with 65.0% of the first preference vote counted.)
The eight decade old Liberal Party has been outpolled by Pauline Hanson’s One Nation, a party that has only twice reached double figures at a state election, both of those occurring in its home state Queensland.
In this post I’m going to run through some of the more startling statistics of the election. Most are good news for One Nation and bad news for the Liberal Party. The numbers also include warnings for the Labor Party.
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