FED2025 – Bradfield Update and where to next?
UPDATE: This post was published on 19 May before the official distribution of preferences. The produced a finally tally where Liberal Gisele Kapterian led Independent Nicolette Boele by 8 votes. A full re-count of all first preference votes, a re-check of all informal votes, and a new distribution of preferences will now take place. Apart from this additional detail updating the final count, the rest of the post remains correct.
Bradfield, once the Liberal Party’s safest metropolitan seat, has turned out to be an absolute squeaker at the 2025 election.
After all primary votes have been officially tallied, the indicative preference count has Independent Nicolette Boele defeating Liberal candidate Gisele Kapterian by 39 votes.
The narrowing of the result in the last week has been a surprise. Independents do not traditionally do well on Postal, Absent and Pre-Poll Declaration votes. And if you look at the primary votes, Ms Boele has not done well.
But the Greens and Labor HAVE been doing well on Absent and Pre-Poll Declaration votes, and it is these that have boosted Ms Boele’s after preferences count in her second attempt to win Bradfield.
So where does it go from here. Let me try and explain.Read More »FED2025 – Bradfield Update and where to next?