2023 federal victoria redistribution

Projected Enrolment Data released for the Victorian Federal Redistribution

The next step in the re-draw of Victoria’s federal electoral boundaries has begun today with a call for submissions and the release of base enrolment data.

Victoria is losing a seat at the next Federal election, the state’s representation reduced from 39 to 38 seats.

Victoria gained a 39th seat ahead of the 2022 election, but a decline in the state’s relative population compared to other states will see Victoria revert to 38 seats. One of the state’s 39 seats is to be abolished, but it is unlikely to be the new seat of Hawke first contested in 2022.

The two year immigration halt caused by Covid, combined with on-going internal migration by Victorians to other states, is why the state is losing a seat.

Of the state’s 39 seats, 14 are below the permitted variation from projected enrolment quota. Thirteen of these seats cover parts of Melbourne and all will need to gain voters. Seats in regional Victoria are mostly within the permitted variation and will be largely untouched by the redistribution.

(I’m happy to publish comments on how people think the redistribution will unfold. Read on into the post for my thoughts.)Read More »Projected Enrolment Data released for the Victorian Federal Redistribution