This post provides an overall summary of the South Australian Legislative Council result. It includes tables summarising the party composition of the new Council, a list of elected and departing members, party totals including change of vote since 2022, and a breakdown of results by party and candidate. I also have some comments on the final stages of the distribution of preferences.
Party Composition of New Legislative Council
| ALP | LIB | ONP | GRN | OTH | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Continuing Members (Elected 2022) | 5 | 4 | .. | 1 | 1 | 11 |
| New Members (Elected 2026) | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | .. | 11 |
| New Legislative Council | 10 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 22 |
- Sarah Game was elected for One Nation in 2022 but has since resigned and formed her own party.
- The President of the Legislative Council only has a casting vote in the event of a tie. This leaves 21 members on the floor when all present and 11 members need to pass a vote.1i>
- Compared to the results of the 2018 election, Labor gained one seat and One Nation three seats, with the Liberal Party and SA-Best losing two seats each.
Elected and Departing Members
| Party | Candidate | Fate |
|---|---|---|
| Labor | Emily Bourke MLC | Re-elected 1 |
| One Nation | Cory Bernadi | Elected 2 |
| Liberal | Ben Hood MLC | Re-elected 3 |
| Greens | Melanie Selwood | Elected 4 |
| Labor | Mira El Dannawi MLC | Re-elected 5 |
| One Nation | Carlos Quaremba | Elected 6 |
| Liberal | Heidi Girolamo MLC | Re-elected 7 |
| Labor | Justin Hanson MLC | Re-elected 8 |
| Labor | Hilton Gumbys | Elected 9 |
| One Nation | Rebecca Hewett | Elected 10 |
| Labor | Clare Scriven MLC | Re-elected 11 |
| SA-Best | Connie Bonaros MLC | Defeated |
| Independent | Jing Lee MLC | Defeated |
| Independent | Tammy Franks MLC | Defeated |
| Liberal | Terry Stephens MLC | Retired |
| .. | Frank Pangallo MLC | Defeated in lower house |
- Jing Lee was elected as a Liberal but re-contested and was defeated as an Independent.
- Tammy Franks was elected as a Green but re-contested and was defeated as an Independent.
- Frank Pangallo was elected for SA-Best but left the party and was chosen as the Liberal candidate for the lower house seat of Waite where he was defeated.
- The first nine elected members reached quota based on first preferences by Party. The lead Labor, One Nation, Liberal and Greens candidates were the first four elected as shown above, all with more than a quota of votes.
- The next five members elected, in order 5 to 9 as shown above, were elected with full quotas achieved by the trickle down of surplus to quota votes from the lead candidate. This elected three further Labor members and a second member each for One Nation and the Liberal Party.
- The tenth member and third One Nation candidate elected, Rebecca Hewett, was short of quota on the election of the second One Nation candidate. Of candidates remaining after nine members had been declared elected, she had around 0.92 quotas, well ahead of all other candidates. She reached quota on the exclusion and part preference distribution of Family First.
- Labor’s fifth candidate Clare Scriven was in second place with around 0.40 quotas after nine members had been elected. She was the 11th member declared elected after the final exclusion as the higher polling of two candidates remaining in the count. On election Scriven had 54,161 votes or 0.57 quotas.
- Scriven defeated the second and remaining Greens candidate Katie McCusker. After the election of the first nine members, McCusker trailed but passed the lead candidates of Legalise Cannabis and Family First on preferences. McCusker attracted more preferences than the two parties she passed.
- UPDATE: The final margin of victory was 10,077 votes, Scriven on 54,161, McCusker 44,084. At the end of the count there were 90,099 exhausted votes, 0.95 quotas. I’ll work out the exhaustion rate of votes distributed later today.
- Exhaustion Rate: Between Count 10, the point where the first nine candidates had been elected, and the final Count 5948, 18,014 preferences flowed to Labor’s Clare Scrive (12.9% of preferences), 22,534 flowed to the Greens Katie McCusker (16.1%), 8,288 (5.9%) reached and remained with One Nation’s Rebecca Hewett after reaching quota and having further preferences distributed, while 90,099 preferences exhausted (64.3%).
- The overall rate of ATL voting was 94.18%. See table at the bottom of the post for %ATL rates for all parties and groups.
| Party Name (Candidates) | Votes | Pct | Change | Quotas | Seats Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australian Labor Party (7) | 417,728 | 36.71 | -0.25 | 4.4051 | 5 |
| Pauline Hanson’s One Nation (4) | 278,006 | 24.43 | +20.20 | 2.9317 | 3 |
| Liberal Party (5) | 201,823 | 17.74 | -16.64 | 2.1283 | 2 |
| The Greens (3) | 116,048 | 10.20 | +1.17 | 1.2238 | 1 |
| Legalise Cannabis South Australia Party (2) | 26,804 | 2.36 | +0.27 | 0.2827 | .. |
| Family First (2) | 24,452 | 2.15 | -0.91 | 0.2579 | .. |
| Animal Justice Party (2) | 14,862 | 1.31 | -0.19 | 0.1567 | .. |
| Stephen Pallaras Real Change SA (2) | 11,936 | 1.05 | +0.18 | 0.1259 | .. |
| Independent (2) | 8,452 | 0.74 | +0.74 | 0.0891 | .. |
| SA-BEST (5) | 7,438 | 0.65 | -0.39 | 0.0784 | .. |
| Jing Lee – Better Community (2) | 6,862 | 0.60 | +0.60 | 0.0724 | .. |
| Independent (2) | 6,309 | 0.55 | +0.55 | 0.0665 | .. |
| Australian Family Party (3) | 6,155 | 0.54 | -0.31 | 0.0649 | .. |
| The Nationals (2) | 4,966 | 0.44 | -0.24 | 0.0524 | .. |
| Sarah Game Fair Go for Australians (2) | 3,457 | 0.30 | +0.30 | 0.0365 | .. |
| United Voice Australia (2) | 2,254 | 0.20 | +0.20 | 0.0238 | .. |
| Ungrouped (1) | 390 | 0.03 | +0.03 | 0.0041 | .. |
| …. | 0 | 0.00 | -5.32 | 0.0000 | .. |
| Formal Votes | 1,137,942 | 97.28 | |||
| Informal | 31,858 | 2.72 | -0.89 | ||
| Total Vote / Turnout | 1,169,800 | 88.81 | -0.37 | ||
| Quota | 94,829 | ||||
| Enrolment | 1,317,186 |
Party and Candidate Totals
LEGISLATIVE COUNCIL (Roll: 1,317,186, Quota: 94,829)
| Grp | Party/Candidate | Votes | % Vote | Quotas | % ATL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | Australian Labor Party | 417,728 | 36.71 | 4.4051 | 96.74 |
| ATL Votes | 404,122 | 35.51 | 4.2616 | ||
| Emily Bourke (Re-elected 1) | 10,322 | 0.91 | 0.1088 | ||
| Mira El Dannawi (Re-elected 5) | 403 | 0.04 | 0.0042 | ||
| Justin Hanson (Re-elected 8) | 649 | 0.06 | 0.0068 | ||
| Hilton Gumbys (Elected 9) | 296 | 0.03 | 0.0031 | ||
| Clare Scriven (Re-elected 11) | 1,217 | 0.11 | 0.0128 | ||
| Senthil Chidambaranathan | 266 | 0.02 | 0.0028 | ||
| Awur Deng | 453 | 0.04 | 0.0048 | ||
| N | Pauline Hanson’s One Nation | 278,006 | 24.43 | 2.9317 | 94.37 |
| ATL Votes | 262,363 | 23.06 | 2.7667 | ||
| Cory Bernardi (Elected 2) | 13,695 | 1.20 | 0.1444 | ||
| Carlos Quaremba (Elected 6) | 410 | 0.04 | 0.0043 | ||
| Rebecca Hewett (Elected 10) | 1,239 | 0.11 | 0.0131 | ||
| Nathan Skrlj | 299 | 0.03 | 0.0032 | ||
| J | Liberal Party | 201,823 | 17.74 | 2.1283 | 96.58 |
| ATL Votes | 194,915 | 17.13 | 2.0554 | ||
| Ben Hood (Re-elected 3) | 5,229 | 0.46 | 0.0551 | ||
| Heidi Girolamo (Re-elected 7) | 519 | 0.05 | 0.0055 | ||
| Rowan Mumford | 347 | 0.03 | 0.0037 | ||
| KD Singh | 325 | 0.03 | 0.0034 | ||
| Belinda Crawford-Marshall | 488 | 0.04 | 0.0051 | ||
| L | The Greens | 116,048 | 10.20 | 1.2238 | 89.65 |
| ATL Votes | 104,040 | 9.14 | 1.0971 | ||
| Melanie Selwood (Elected 4) | 9,266 | 0.81 | 0.0977 | ||
| Katie McCusker | 2,157 | 0.19 | 0.0227 | ||
| Christopher Gordon Smith | 585 | 0.05 | 0.0062 | ||
| I | Legalise Cannabis South Australia Party | 26,804 | 2.36 | 0.2827 | 91.43 |
| ATL Votes | 24,506 | 2.15 | 0.2584 | ||
| Jessica Nies | 2,047 | 0.18 | 0.0216 | ||
| Peter Waters | 251 | 0.02 | 0.0026 | ||
| D | Family First | 24,452 | 2.15 | 0.2579 | 89.75 |
| ATL Votes | 21,946 | 1.93 | 0.2314 | ||
| Deepa Mathew | 2,010 | 0.18 | 0.0212 | ||
| Christopher Brohier | 496 | 0.04 | 0.0052 | ||
| E | Animal Justice Party | 14,862 | 1.31 | 0.1567 | 89.99 |
| ATL Votes | 13,375 | 1.18 | 0.1410 | ||
| Lionel Pengilley | 1,298 | 0.11 | 0.0137 | ||
| Geoff Russell | 189 | 0.02 | 0.0020 | ||
| A | Stephen Pallaras Real Change SA | 11,936 | 1.05 | 0.1259 | 77.69 |
| ATL Votes | 9,273 | 0.81 | 0.0978 | ||
| Stephen Pallaras | 2,478 | 0.22 | 0.0261 | ||
| Daniel Pallaras | 185 | 0.02 | 0.0020 | ||
| O | Independent | 8,452 | 0.74 | 0.0891 | 89.62 |
| ATL Votes | 7,575 | 0.67 | 0.0799 | ||
| Craig Pickering | 617 | 0.05 | 0.0065 | ||
| Emily Hutchinson | 260 | 0.02 | 0.0027 | ||
| C | SA-BEST | 7,438 | 0.65 | 0.0784 | 78.18 |
| ATL Votes | 5,815 | 0.51 | 0.0613 | ||
| Connie Bonaros (Defeated) | 1,433 | 0.13 | 0.0151 | ||
| Skye Barrett | 77 | 0.01 | 0.0008 | ||
| Joanna Rowe | 48 | .. | 0.0005 | ||
| John Banelis | 34 | .. | 0.0004 | ||
| Naomi Dewar | 31 | .. | 0.0003 | ||
| H | Jing Lee – Better Community | 6,862 | 0.60 | 0.0724 | 86.94 |
| ATL Votes | 5,966 | 0.52 | 0.0629 | ||
| Jing Lee (Defeated) | 862 | 0.08 | 0.0091 | ||
| Danny Caiazza | 34 | .. | 0.0004 | ||
| P | Independent | 6,309 | 0.55 | 0.0665 | 57.60 |
| ATL Votes | 3,634 | 0.32 | 0.0383 | ||
| Tammy Franks (Defeated) | 2,102 | 0.18 | 0.0222 | ||
| Faith Coleman | 573 | 0.05 | 0.0060 | ||
| F | Australian Family Party | 6,155 | 0.54 | 0.0649 | 87.81 |
| ATL Votes | 5,405 | 0.47 | 0.0570 | ||
| Bob Day | 559 | 0.05 | 0.0059 | ||
| Nicole Hussey | 104 | 0.01 | 0.0011 | ||
| John Day | 87 | 0.01 | 0.0009 | ||
| M | The Nationals | 4,966 | 0.44 | 0.0524 | 93.09 |
| ATL Votes | 4,623 | 0.41 | 0.0488 | ||
| Rikki Lambert | 310 | 0.03 | 0.0033 | ||
| Perrin Rennie | 33 | .. | 0.0003 | ||
| B | Sarah Game Fair Go for Australians | 3,457 | 0.30 | 0.0365 | 67.28 |
| ATL Votes | 2,326 | 0.20 | 0.0245 | ||
| Chris McDermott | 915 | 0.08 | 0.0096 | ||
| Shannon Foote | 216 | 0.02 | 0.0023 | ||
| G | United Voice Australia | 2,254 | 0.20 | 0.0238 | 82.39 |
| ATL Votes | 1,857 | 0.16 | 0.0196 | ||
| Mark Aldridge | 345 | 0.03 | 0.0036 | ||
| Matilda Bawden | 52 | .. | 0.0005 | ||
| Q | Ungrouped | 390 | 0.03 | 0.0041 | 0.00 |
| Darren Phillips | 390 | 0.03 | 0.0041 | ||
| TOTAL TICKET VOTES | 1,071,741 | 94.18 |
How the Final Two Vacancies were Filled
The chart below is an attempt by me chart the party totals through the final stages of the distribution of preferences. At Count 709, only 16 candidates remained in the count, one from each column on the ballot paper with a group voting square. What followed was the exclusion of 13 candidates plus the distribution of surplus from Rebecca Hewett after she was elected on filling a quota. At the end of the count only two candidates remained, Labor’s fifth candidate Clare Scriven with 54,161 votes (0.57 quotas) and Greens second candidate Katie McCusker on 44,084 (0.46 quota). Scriven was declared elected to the 11th seat at this point.
As sort of shown in the chart, McCusker passed both Legalise Cannabis and Family First to reach second place. Between Count 10, the point where the first nine candidates had been elected, and the final Count 5948, 18,014 preferences flowed to Labor’s Clare Scrive (12.9% of preferences), 22,534 flowed to the Greens Katie McCusker (16.1%), 8,288 (5.9%) reached and remained with One Nation’s Rebecca Hewettet after reaching quota and having further preferences distributed, while 90,099 preferences exhausted, 64.3% of votes distributed or 0.95 quotas worth of votes.
That the line for others slopped down at around the same rate as the Exhausted line rose is indicative of how little impact preferences had on the final result. After the election of the first nine MLCs, Scriven held the second highest partial quota after One Nation’ Rebecca Hewett. The Greens did advance on preferences, but there were not enough live preferences to close the lead Scriven had the start of the count.
Hi Antony, any analysis on how close the final seat was? Was Labor at risk of not winning it or was it just a matter of the ECSA formally distributing preferences and announcing the results?
COMMENT: The result of the distribution is released immediately. The supporting documents that explain the count will be generated this afternoon I hope.
What does the number mean after the candidate’s fate? eg re- elected 10 or elected 6th?
COMMENT: Candidates are elected in an order determined by the count process. The numbers 1 to 11 next to elected or re-elected is that order.
I always enjoy your analysis, Mr Green. When is the SA EC likely to make the csv files available? I have your pdf that includes the House of Assembly District Results, but running it through a query requires different parameters for each page.
COMMENT: If you want to contact me through website I can help you. Let me know exactly what you are after.
Antony question will there be a pdf document for the upper house results in all of the Individual lower house electorates for the 2026 south Australian election?
COMMENT: I don’t know. They have changed a lot of their software since 2022.
Thanks Antony, that’s a very helpful analysis of a long awaited result.
Do you know if they give figures on how many numbers are used in ATL votes? The instructions say at least 6 (though I know from experience the verbal instructions from polling staff are variable and they may say to just number 6), but I wonder how many are indicating fewer, in particular only 1.
COMMENT: It is only the Senate that has the minimum six preferences instruction. The NSW, WA, SA and soon the Victorian upper house ballots say mark a first preference and further preferences are optional. In the 2022 SA Legislative Council election, 62.6% of ballots were single 1 above the line votes, 31.3% 1 with preferences, and 6.1% below the line.
Thanks Antony, for making a bizarre process clearer (5948 counts!).
In the formula for the Quota, what is the purpose of the 2nd +1 ? What difference does it make if it is 94,828 or 94,829?
When groups submit a Ticket prior to the election, it appears that some don’t include all candidates, as the number of exhausted votes (90,099) exceeds the number of below the line votes (66,201)
COMMENT: SA and WA carry out a single count for every bundle of votes received by a candidate. So if when excluded a candidate has votes sourced from 10 other candidates, then this corresponds to 10 counts, one for each receipt from another candidate, distributed as bundles in the order they were received. The Senate system excludes all votes received at the same transfer value no matter when received. This is why SA and WA have huge count numbers. SA should accumulate its reports by stop points, say accumulating all distributed votes into a report that only has a count when an exclusion is completed. Or adopt the Senate counting method.
If you do an integer division of the total votes, that is round the fraction down, then if you add 1 to the quota, the total of filled quotas will leave fewer than a quota left over.
There are no group voting tickets in SA. If a voter votes ‘1’ above the line, the vote has preferences for the chosen party and no other party. Only voters can send preferences to another party. That’s why so many votes exhausted as two-third of voters only mark a single 1 and none of them have preferences.
I’m on my hobby horse again.
I suspect the stats that you gave to Stuart for the 2022 SA LC would not have varied much from the 2026 election?
Ben Raue (of the Tally Room – and I suspect the Ben above) made the observation that voters on the left seem to be more diligent in elaborating preferences than those on the right. This is born out in your graph that sees the Greens benefit from preferences overtaking Family First who had a higher residue quota. With almost a full quota of votes exhausting we will never know what results would be if people were encouraged to order their preferences. If not FPV, at least instruct selection of preferences equal to the number of seats up for election (11) as per the Senate (6), perhaps with a savings provision for the recalcitrant voter.
In this case if the exhausted votes were split left and right according to the flavour of the first preference vote, I doubt that the result would have been different, but in a closer contest it would matter.
Best to let the wheat (FFP) grow with the tares (LCP) (pun intended) until the full harvest of preferences is unveiled!
btw do you have any data yet on on the number of PHON votes that were caught by the savings provisions in the Assembly? (ANSWER: The data is not yet available)
COMMENT: The introduction of group voting tickets in 1984 was the solution to the unacceptable level of informal voting that had existed for seven decades and been caused by full preferential voting. In the early 2000s, Eric Abetz as Special Minister of State proposed to abolish group voting tickets and introduce full preferential voting above the line. The proposal went nowhere for two reasons. One, it would cause a massive increase in informal voting. Two, it would slow voting and increase queuing in polling places. And for what benefit?
The reason GVTs have been abolished, apart from the obvious problems that we saw, is because they are at odds with the underlying principle of proportional representation, that seats allocated by party should be related to vote share.
While the SA upper house has optional preferences, it effectively acts as List proportional representation based on quota with final seats allocated by highest remainder. It is the most common quota based PR system. If we adopted one of the two common forms of divisor PR, D’Hont or Sainte-Laguë, the result would have been the same. The result we saw in SA was the one produced by the world’s three most common forms of proportional representation.
What you are arguing for is full preferential voting to allow the system to vary in some circumstances from what would otherwise be a proportional result. You are arguing that this principle is important, despite it lessening proportionality, increasing informal voting and slowing the process of voting. You will not win an argument that has three such strong arguments against.
The better argument for preferential voting is it allows choice of candidate, something not allowed by List PR. But very few people make use of choice of candidate, which leaves us with a very complex count that takes weeks to finalise and ends up producing the same result as if you simply added the first preference votes by party and group and allocated the seats by a PR formula.
Antony you wrote above
“The better argument for preferential voting is it allows choice of candidate, something not allowed by List PR.”
But is alive and kicking in the Netherlands where the entire country is a single constituency and every party candidate is listed on the ballot paper (and yes some parties list 150 candidates). Most people just mark the first box for the lead candidate but some people do mark against a particular name.
The threshold for a seat is 1/150. A threshold of 0.67%
But if a list candidate achieves 25% of the electoral quota (0.17% of the above quota) they are elected first – even ahead of the lead candidate of their party.
COMMENT: You are right but I deliberately didn’t want to get into open and closed list PR systems. You have that discussion in Australia and people want to have preferences within the ticket, and then what about preferences between parties. The Hawke government tried to introduce closed List D’Hondt for the ACT at its first election in 1989, a very simple electoral system. But it was so mis-understood that it had both quotas and preferences added in its passage through the Senate and produced a system that was hard for voters to understand and very difficult to count.
South Australia, the first state to introduce PR for its upper house, was concerned that electing 11 members by PR-STV was too complex to count. It was in the wake of the 1974 Senate election when a giant NSW ballot paper required voters to complete 73 preferences, drove up informal voting rates and slowed voting. It was why NSW adopted the 1970s Senate system but without full preferences when it introduced upper house PR elections in 1978.
The 1975 SA system was closed list PR with the same Droop quota used at all Australian PR elections and a highest remainder method for allocating the final seats. The inventiveness of the SA system was the use of two quotas. Voters could only vote for a party or group list, not candidates, but optionally could preference other groups. Effectively this produced only one further preference. On first preferences the quota was applied and parties with less than half a quota were excluded and had preferences distributed to one of the remaining groups. A new Droop quota based on the remaining votes was then applied for the remaining party/groups to determined how many seats to which each party was entitled.
The legal view is that the Australian Constitution prevents the use of closed list PR and the allocating of seats to parties for Senate elections. Section 7 of the Constitution states that Senators must be directly elected, which is viewed as meaning the method of voting must be candidate based. The system can’t first allocate seats based on party vote and from that determine which candidates are elected. Above-the-line voting has been challenged on this basis, but the High Court has ruled the Constitution does not prevent parties running tickets of candidates given the proportional nature of the electoral system. There may be party tickets, but the votes are counted based on votes for candidates. But for all intents and purposes, the Senate system in use since 2016 operates as closed list PR with highest remainder, with occasional cases where preferences vary which party wins the finals seats.
WA has a similar state constitutional provision which is why they now conduct PR-STV elections for 37 Legislative Council members. How much quicker and easier would it be to use List-PR for WA elections.