For those who end up here thanks to google, I am doing nothing on this site. I am on ABC Television all night covering the results. The computer system I designed for the ABC is busy publishing results at ABC Elections.
In this post I have a late update on pre-poll voting.
(Updated – Saturday 3 May – Pre-polls are updated but I have run out of time to update the postal and have removed reference to them.)
As of polling day a total of 6,778,467 pre-poll votes had been taken representing 37.5% of enrolment.
- Note that public holidays mean the 2025 votes have been taken from two fewer days of pre-poll voting than in 2022 and seven fewer than in 2019. The pre-poll voting was shortened to two weeks in 2022.
- By polling day in 2022 5,541,757 pre-poll votes had been taken representing 32.2% of enrolment. In 2019 the numbers were 4,778,856 or 29.1% of enrolment.
- Pre-poll vote rates by state are NSW 37.5%, VIC 37.8%, QLD 41.3%, WA 36.5%, SA 29.8%, TAS 25.4%, ACT 39.2%, NT 37.3%.
- The six electorates with the highest rate of pre-polling are Hinkler (QLD) 53.4%, Fisher (QLD) 52.9%, Fowler (NSW) 51.0%, Gippsland (VIC) 50.6%, Dawson (QLD) 50.5%, Gilmore (NSW) 50.1%.
- In the Northern Territory, remote mobile polling has collected votes representing another 4.1% of enrolment.
- A total of 535,715 postal vote packs have been returned representing 21.7% of dispatches or 3.0% of enrolment.
- Postal application rates are highest in Bonner (QLD) 24.6%, Aston (VIC) 22.5%, Dunkley (VIC) 23.4%, Calwell (VIC) 22.5% and McEwen 21.4%.
Inside the post are graphs plotting the day by day figures.
2022 Two-Party Preferred by Vote Type
The chart below shows the two-party preferred results by vote type for the 2022 election. The % vote type shown below is as a % of total votes which makes it a higher figure than as a percentage of enrolment.
Thanks Mr Green
Hats off to you as you approach your last election coverage. You are a credit to our information medis
Thanks for all your work over the years🙏
Hi Antony i know you’re probably very busy, but I was wondering how the aec determines 2 party preferred breakdowns for electorates that don’t end in a Labor vs coalition 2pp. For example, in 2022 Canberra ended as Labor vs greens, but the aec also gave a Labor vs lib 2pp. Was this just estimated or do they actually just count what a Labor vs liberal 2pp outcome would have been.
COMMENT: The count the preferences out as a second preference distribution.
What are the ‘Other Types’ of voting?
COMMENT: In 2022 Provisional and other mobiles.
I postal voted for the first time this election, after early voting the last few times. Was a nice change to be able to look up policies of all candidates/parties while filling out the ballots, rather than only what I could remember and whichever how-to-votes were being handed out.
Thank you for all your work over the years!
Thank you Antony for your wonderful contribution to democracy. You’ve put in place systems that will have impacts for decades past your retirement, good on you!
Hi Anthony. Look forward to watching you call the election on Saturday night. I was a pre-poll voter. When does pre-poll counting of votes actually happen. Prior to Saturday or only after the polls close? Thanks, Lesley
COMMENT: Pre-polls ballot boxes are opened for unfolding and sorting from 4pm on Saturday afternoon but counting starts after polls close at 6pm on polling day.
Hey Antony, for this purpose, do prepoll absewnt votes come under “pre-poll” generally?
COMMENT: The AEC has a distinction between pre-poll ordinary votes placed in a ballot box at a pre-polling centre designated for a home district. Thus is as opposed to a Pre-Poll Declarations which are completed with a declaration envelope. Note that some pre-poll centres are designated to take votes for multiple districts so take pre-poll ordinaries for multiple districts. I think silent votes get counted as pre-poll declarations.
Why do certain vote types skew to each party? Are there demographics more likely to vote in a specific way that affect this? I assume in the past pre-poll and postals have skewed towards older people (which is why the Coalition does better with those forms of voting), but that it is changing as more and more people vote this way; but I’m still curious on what trends/patterns you see.
COMMENT: You have answered your own question.
Anthony,
It’s my favourite night of every couple of years. You make even a landslide like Mark McGowan in WA during COVID the best nights entertainment. Much respect, admiration, and awe at your skill. Its like the captain of my favourite sports team has retired and as a supporter, I’m not sure what is next.
All the best for your next adventure.
so many thanks for this and all you have done over the years to make election information more accessible!
Thank you for all your hard work over the years. As a young student currently studying economics I can’t state enough how much I appreciate and find inspiration in your work.
Please teach someone all you know before you go and before you grow too old for this kind of work. Otherwise, Australia and we Australians will be all the poorer for the loss of this knowledge and insight.
love your work Antony …..Aroha
Public Holiday on Monday is having an effect on additional early votes in Qld. We are on target for 65,000+ votes before the day in our seat.
Election night without Anthony Green will be like cricket without Ritchie Benaud! Have a long and healthy retirement Anthony!
Election night will never be the same without you, Antony. I hope the next stage of your life will be everything you hope for.
Are the early polling results posted anywhere for us to see?
COMMENT: Results at pre-poll voting centres are published on the AEC website from the morning after election night.
Outstanding work as always Antony! Will miss seeing you on screen on these important nights.
You’re a living legend Antony, we all appreciate your service to our democracy over so many years
Like a democracy sausage, we always look forward to our font of knowledge Antony Green- thank you
You will be missed
You’re a national treasure mate, your election coverage over the years has been amazing, all the best with future endeavours!
Thank you for your contributions to broadcasting, to electoral education and to senate voting reform. I was a dedicated below-the-line senate voter until the reform of the system, because I disliked the idea of group tickets so much.
Election nights won’t be the same without you, but I hope that you enjoy all that you have ahead of you.
We’re really going to miss you Anthony!
Antony, thank you for the many years and elections that you’ve analysed and called with such clinical precision and independence for the ABC.
As a genuine election tragic I’ve preferred sitting alone on my couch watching you so I can focus purely on your analysis.
I really like and agree with your sentiment that it’s not just the night but a season, and election night the grand final.
Thank you for educating Australians in the electoral process, and for the absolute professionalism you’ve shown to call the trends no matter whose hearts you break.
Of course I have sat on my couch in tears as you’ve clinically shown the truth of who and what Australians have chosen over the decades. I have also sat on the couch cheering and clapping individual electorates, swings and results. Your additional insight has allowed our journalists and commentators to interpret the numbers with more insight, and audiences can take that on board.
In terms of federal elections you have shown us who Australia is at one point in time, what has been chosen, and what has been rejected as a statement of who we really are and who we will be for the next three years.
You have brought elections to the people in a way they can absorb and learn from.
Enjoy your retirement, and thank you for your service. I’m sure you will teach your professional descendants well, but you will still be sorely missed.
Election Tragic
I’m came here looking for other stuff, but I cant leave wothout saying thank you. Much of what is inbetween your segments on election night is excruciating, but worth going through to get to your analysis and commentary and wondefully relevant numbers.
Australian elections won’t be the same. It will better thanks to you, but not nearly as good as it has been woth you.
Thank you xox
love your work mate covering so many elections.. a cult figure of election stats indeed. may we get your opinion on Kooyong seat?. could postal votes swing it away from Ryan? she has been a great MP by all accounts and could be usurped by the brethern!
COPMMENT: Barring a change in the late count, Monique Ryan will win Kooyong.