2024 Tasmanian Election Results – Franklin Updates

Update: Count over – evening of Friday 5 April

Elected and Projected Members

  • Re-elected 1 – Roslaie Woodruff (Greens)
  • Re-elected 2 – Dean Winter (Labor)
  • Elected 3 – Jacquie Petrusma (Liberal)
  • Elected 4 – Meg Brown (Labor)
  • Re-elected 5 – David O’Byrne (Independent)
  • Elected 6 – Eric Abetz (Liberal)
  • Re-elected 7 – Nic Street (Liberal)
  • Defeated – Dean Young (Liberal)

Other Updates: Bass ! Braddon ! Clark ! Lyons

Quota – 9,006

The first five elected members from Woodruff to O’Byrne reached quota and had a surplus distributed. At the end of the count there were three candidates left to fill the last two vacancies. The final totals were –

  • Eric Abetz (Liberal) – 8,634 votes – 0.96 quotas – declared elected
  • Nic Street (Liberal) – 8,462 votes – 0.94 quotas – declared elected
  • Jade Darko (Greens) – 6,900 votes – 0.77 quotas – not elected

Previous updates inside post.


End of Counting Thursday 4 April – After Count 42

Party Totals – between Counts 1 and 42, party total quotas have changed –

  • The Liberal total was risen from 2.72 quotas to 2.80.
  • The Labor total has ticked up from 2.19 quotas to 2.24.
  • The Greens total has risen from 1.58 quotas to 1.65.
  • David O’Byrne has risen from 0.70 to 0.85 quotas./li>
  • Jacqui Lambie Network rose from 0.39 to 0.44 quotas.
  • The total for all other candidates and parties slipped from 0.42 quotas to zero as they have been excluded.

News on how the party tickets have faired.

  • Liberal – The Liberal party’s 2.8 quotas are evenly split across four candidates. Eric Abetz has 7,589 votes or 0.84 quotas, Jacqui Petrusma has 7,541 or 0.84 quotas, Nic Street 6,236 or 0.69 quotas, and Dean Young 3,813 or 0.42 quotas. At some point Young will be excluded and his preferences boost the vote for the other three candidates. All three candidates already have more votes than the 0.65 quotas split across the two remaining Green candidates and Young’s preferences will increase the lead. At this stage it is clear that Sean Young will be defeated and Abetz, Petrusma and Street defeated.
  • Labor – Dean Winter has been declared elected. Only two other Labor candidates remain and at some point Toby Thorpe will be excluded and Meg Brown elected to the second Labor seat. Labor will have a surplus of about 0.2 quotas which may help the Greens as preferences but will also leak to David O’Byrne.
  • Greens – With Rosalie Woodruff already elected, the Green surplus is split across two candidates, Jade Darko with 3,101 votes or 0.34 quotas, and Gideon Cordover with 2,793 votes or 0.31 quotas. At some point Cordover will be excluded and there will be some preference leakage. There is a surpolus quota of about 0.2 for Labor’s ticket, and 0.43 quotas in the Jackie Lambie ticket. These would have to heavily favour the Greens over the Liberal Party to elect Darko as a second Green, but three Liberals elected is the more likely result.
  • David O’Byrne – what probably makes life more difficult for the Greens is that David O’Byrne remains short of a quota. He has done well with preferences from every excluded party and should repeat that when the Jacqui Lambie Network are excluded. He will also benefit from Labor’s surplus, diminishing the number of preferences that could help the Greens.

Totals after Count 20 – end of Wednesday counting

The split of votes on the Liberal ticket is helping the party win three seats. Both Eric Abetz and Jacquie Petrusma will be elected, but neither are likely to reach a quota until very late in the count. The exclusion of lower polling Liberals tomorrow will put Street ahead of the total votes for the Greens making it more likely he will win the final seat rather than a Green.

Of interest tomorrow will be the exclusion of the first Jacqui Lambie Network candidate Conor Hallahan. How many of his preferences will stay in the party ticket, of interest for counts in Bass, Braddon and Lyons.

Labor’s Dean Winter could reach quota tomorrow with the exclusion of lower polling candidates, which should also resolve whether Meg Brown or Toby Thorpe win the second Labor seat.

It is still unclear whether Jade Darko or Gideon Cordover will be the candidate left standing with the surplus beyond Rosalie Woodruff’s filled quota.

David O’Byrne continues to accumulate preferences and from 0.73 quotas will win re-election, for the first time elected as an Independent.

Party Totals – between Counts 1 and 20, party total quotas have changed –

  • The Liberal total was risen from 2.72 quotas to 2.74.
  • The Labor total has ticked up from 2.19 quotas to 2.20.
  • The Greens total has stayed at 1.58 quotas.
  • David O’Byrne has risen from 0.70 to 0.74 quotas./li>
  • Jacqui Lambie Network rose from 0.39 to 0.42 quotas.
  • The total for all other candidates and parties slipped from 0.42 quotas to 0.31.
Count 20 Candidate Totals
Candidate/Group Party Votes Pct Quotas
Candidate competing for election
*Rosalie Woodruff (Re-elected 1) GRN 9,006 12.50 1.00
*Dean Winter ALP 8,427 11.70 0.94
Eric Abetz LIB 6,817 9.46 0.76
*David O’Byrne IND 6,626 9.20 0.74
Jacquie Petrusma LIB 6,295 8.74 0.70
*Nic Street LIB 4,965 6.89 0.55
Meg Brown ALP 4,051 5.62 0.45
Toby Thorpe ALP 3,425 4.75 0.38
*Dean Young LIB 3,207 4.45 0.36
Candidates to be distributed as preferences
Other Liberals (3) LIB 3,417 4.74 0.38
Other Labor (4) ALP 3,950 5.48 0.44
Other Greens (6) GRN 5,244 7.28 0.58
Lambie Network (3) JLN 3,762 5.22 0.42
Animal Justice Party (1) AJP 1,319 1.83 0.15
Clare Glade-Wright IND 1,493 2.07 0.17

Totals at Count 1 – Final First Preference Tallies

Franklin – Count 1 Party Totals
Party (Candidates) Votes Pct Quotas
Liberal Party (7) 24,527 34.05 2.72
Australian Labor Party (7) 19,679 27.32 2.19
Tasmanian Greens (7) 14,261 19.80 1.58
IND David O’Byrne (1) 6,312 8.76 0.70
Jacqui Lambie Network (3) 3,506 4.87 0.39
IND Clare Glade-Wright (1) 1,154 1.60 0.13
Animal Justice party (1) 1,122 1.56 0.12
IND Tony Mulder (1) 597 0.83 0.07
Local Network (1) 552 0.77 0.06
Ungrouped (2) 330 0.46 0.04

Greens’ Leader Rosalie Woodruff has 1.10 quotas and her surplus will be distributed at count 2, the distribution to take place on Wednesday morning. With no other Greens candidate above 0.11 quotas, it will be difficult for the Greens’ current 0.58 surplus quota to be turned into a second elected member.

The Liberals have 2.72 quotas including four candidates between 0.34 and 0.74 quotas. This gives the party a strong chance of electing a third member. Both Eric Abetz and Jacqui Petrusma are certain of election with Nic Street on 0.53 quotas likely to beat colleague Dean Young to win the third Liberal seat.

On the Labor ticket, Dean Winter will be re-elected with Meg Brown and Tony Thorpe in a contest for the second Labor ticket with Brown favoured.

With 0.70 quotas in his own right, David O’Byrne looks certain of re-election.

Franklin Count 1 – Candidate Totals
Candidate/Group Party Votes Pct Quotas
Candidate competing for election
*Rosalie Woodruff (Re-elected 1) GRN 9,879 13.71 1.10
*Dean Winter ALP 8,055 11.18 0.89
Eric Abetz LIB 6,661 9.25 0.74
*David O’Byrne IND 6,312 8.76 0.70
Jacquie Petrusma LIB 6,093 8.46 0.68
*Nic Street LIB 4,811 6.68 0.53
Meg Brown ALP 3,613 5.02 0.40
*Dean Young LIB 3,078 4.27 0.34
Toby Thorpe ALP 2,908 4.04 0.32
Candidates to be distributed as preferences
Other Liberals (3) LIB 3,884 5.39 0.43
Other Labor (4) ALP 5,103 7.08 0.57
Other Greens (6) GRN 4,382 6.08 0.49
Lambie Network (3) JLN 3,506 4.87 0.39
Animal Justice Party (1) AJP 1,122 1.56 0.12
Clare Glade-Wright IND 1,154 1.60 0.13
Others (4) IND 1,479 2.05 0.16

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