- Re-elected 1 – James McGrath (LNP)
- Re-elected 2 – Murray Watt (Labor)
- Re-elected 3 – Matt Canavan (LNP)
- Elected 4 – Penny Allman-Payne (Greens)
- Re-elected 5 – Pauline Hanson (One Nation)
- Re-elected 6 – Anthony Chisholm (Labor)
- Defeated – Amanda Stoker (LNP)
Party Summary: Greens (+1), LNP (-1).
A full table of first preference votes is included in the post as well as an analysis of the preference flows.
The critical point in the count was the exclusion of Clive Palmer (UAP). More than half of his preferences flowed to Pauline Hanson (ONP), allowing Hanson to open a wide lead over Amanda Stoker (LNP) in the contest for the third conservative seat.
Commentary on Result
Liberal James McGrath and National Matt Canavan are re-elected from the LNP ticket, with Labor’s sitting Senators Murray Watt and Anthony Chisholm also re-elected. Preferences were required to fill Chisholm’s quota, and he was elected despite being passed by Pauline Hanson on UAP preferences.
The Greens have gained a seat with the election of Penny Allman-Payne, needing some preferences but far enough ahead of other contestants to be elected to the fourth seat. The Green victory took a seat from the right and restored the traditional Queensland half-Senate split of 3-right and 3-left Senators.
The final vacancy was a race between two sitting senators. The LNP’s third candidate Amanda Stoker and One Nation’s Pauline Hanson both began the count with around half a quota of votes. Hanson was the victor thanks to strong flows of preferences on the exclusion of Clive Palmer (United Australia). Hanson received enough preferences to win the fifth seat with Anthony Chisholm (Labor) winning the sixth.
Enrolment – 3,503,609
Total Votes / Turnout – 3,111,034, 88.8% of enrolment
Informal Votes – 97,166 (3.1%)
Provisional Quota – 430,553
Below-the-line Vote – 7.0%
Last Update – Friday, 17 June 2022, 10:30
|Party Name (Group)||Votes||Pct||Change||Quotas||% BTL|
|Liberal National Party (S)||1,061,638||35.23||-3.68||2.4658||4.6|
|McGRATH, James (Re-elected 1)||21,411||0.71|
|CANAVAN, Matt (Re-elected 3)||11,822||0.39|
|STOKER, Amanda (Defeated)||11,981||0.40|
|WATT, Murray (Re-elected 2)||21,847||0.72|
|CHISHOLM, Anthony (Re-elected 6)||2,183||0.07|
|The Greens (J)||373,460||12.39||+2.45||0.8674||7.5|
|ALLMAN-PAYNE, Penny (Elected 4)||21,671||0.72|
|SIDHU, Navdeep Singh||970||0.03|
|One Nation (X)||222,925||7.40||-2.87||0.5178||14.3|
|HANSON, Pauline (Re-elected 5)||26,550||0.88|
|Legalise Cannabis (C)||161,899||5.37||+3.62||0.3760||5.9|
|BRADLEY, Bernard Anthony||8,644||0.29|
|United Australia (R)||126,343||4.19||+0.67||0.2934||7.7|
|PALMER, Clive Frederick||9,318||0.31|
|Liberal Democrats (W)||75,158||2.49||+1.67||0.1746||10.8|
|Animal Justice (P)||38,765||1.29||-0.04||0.0900||5.4|
|Indigenous – Aboriginal Party (K)||32,841||1.09||+1.09||0.0763||10.1|
|Great Australian Party (M)||24,262||0.81||+0.62||0.0564||19.7|
|Sustainable Australia (D)||19,146||0.64||+0.34||0.0445||9.0|
|Australian Values Party (N)||18,194||0.60||+0.60||0.0423||12.6|
|SCHEFE, David John||688||0.02|
|HAMILTON, Chey Geoffrey||185||0.01|
|KOCHARDY, Karakan Karoly||387||0.01|
|Informed Medical Options (T)||13,916||0.46||+0.18||0.0323||15.6|
|Group A (A)||13,205||0.44||+0.44||0.0307||25.0|
|Australian Democrats (Q)||11,473||0.38||+0.38||0.0266||8.8|
|Socialist Alliance (B)||10,538||0.35||+0.35||0.0245||14.8|
|Federation Party (O)||7,330||0.24||+0.24||0.0170||10.7|
|SMYTH, Michael Francis||67||0.00|
|Reason Australia (E)||6,514||0.22||+0.22||0.0151||14.3|
|Federal ICAC Now (G)||6,199||0.21||+0.21||0.0144||14.1|
|Citizens Party (L)||6,123||0.20||+0.13||0.0142||10.6|
|Group H (H)||4,566||0.15||+0.15||0.0106||41.2|
|Democratic Alliance (V)||4,555||0.15||+0.15||0.0106||18.2|
|Group I (I)||1,129||0.04||+0.04||0.0026||18.8|
|…. (Fraser Anning)||0||-1.28|
Note: Around 5,000 votes for an Ungrouped Katter’s Australian Party candidate has been included in the Ungrouped total.
After the election of James McGrath (LNP), Murray Watt (Labor) and Matt Canavan (LNP), no other candidate had more than a quota of votes. Anthony Chisholm (Labor) and Penny Allman-Payne (Greens) were well ahead in the race to the next two positions, while Pauline Hanson (One Nation) was narrowly ahead of Amanda Stoker (LNP) in the race for a single seat. The count now proceeded by the successive exclusion of the lowest polling candidate and the distribution of their preferences.
By count 247, only eight candidates remained in the contest. The total votes, percentage and quota for each candidate is shown in the table below. The ‘Transfers’ column shows the votes gained compared to the candidate’s party total at Count 1. The LNP and Labor totals and change column exclude the quota of votes set aside for the elected candidate.
The table shows clearly that Legalise Cannabis, the Greens and One Nation were far and away the most popular destinations for preferences from excluded candidates.
|ALLMAN-PAYNE, Penny (GRN)||+36,334||409,794||13.60||0.9518|
|CHISHOLM, Anthony (ALP)||+15,625||329,284||10.93||0.7648|
|HANSON, Pauline (ONP)||+32,291||255,216||8.47||0.5928|
|STOKER, Amanda (LNP)||+16,450||216,982||7.20||0.5040|
|BRADLEY, Bernard (LCA)||+37,726||199,625||6.62||0.4636|
|PALMER, Clive (UAP)||+21,108||147,451||4.89||0.3425|
|NEWMAN, Campbell (LDP)||+11,303||86,461||2.87||0.2008|
|SEVERNS, Mackenzie (AJP)||+23,688||62,453||2.07||0.1451|
|Exhausted/Loss by fraction||+14,943||14,943||0.50||0.0347|
Counts 248 to 251 excluded Mackenzie Severns (Animal Justice). The Greens and Legalise Cannabis were the most popular next preference.
|ALLMAN-PAYNE, Penny (GRN)||+15,353||425,147||14.11||0.9874|
|CHISHOLM, Anthony (ALP)||+7,106||336,390||11.16||0.7813|
|HANSON, Pauline (ONP)||+6,267||261,483||8.68||0.6073|
|STOKER, Amanda (LNP)||+5,731||222,713||7.39||0.5173|
|BRADLEY, Bernard (LCA)||+12,484||212,109||7.04||0.4926|
|PALMER, Clive (UAP)||+6,589||154,040||5.11||0.3578|
|NEWMAN, Campbell (LDP)||+1,939||88,400||2.93||0.2053|
|SEVERNS, Mackenzie (AJP)||-62,453||0||0.00||0.0000|
|Exhausted/Loss by fraction||+6,984||21,927||0.73||0.0509|
Counts 252-255 excluded former Queensland Premier Campbell Newman (Liberal Democrats). Despite the party’s how-to-vote having a well-reported second preference for United Australia, only 11.2% of voters followed the preference recommendation to United Australia. One-third flowed to Amanda Stoker (LNP) and a quarter to Pauline Hanson (ONP) though Hanson maintained her lead over Stoker.
|ALLMAN-PAYNE, Penny (GRN)||+5,374||430,521||14.28||0.9999|
|CHISHOLM, Anthony (ALP)||+13,511||349,901||11.61||0.8127|
|HANSON, Pauline (ONP)||+22,293||283,776||9.42||0.6591|
|STOKER, Amanda (LNP)||+29,273||251,986||8.36||0.5853|
|BRADLEY, Bernard (LCA)||+3,855||215,964||7.17||0.5016|
|PALMER, Clive (UAP)||+9,917||163,957||5.44||0.3808|
|NEWMAN, Campbell (LDP)||-88,400||0||0.00||0.0000|
|Exhausted/Loss by fraction||+4,177||26,104||0.87||0.0606|
On the exclusion of Clive Palmer (United Australia), only 6.1% of preferences flowed to the Greens, but this was just enough to put the Greens over quota and elect Penny Allman-Payne to the fourth vacancy.
More importantly, 56.6% of the votes with Palmer flowed to Pauline Hanson. This pushed Hanson ahead of Anthony Chisholm (Labor) and opened up a wide lead over Amanda Stoker (LNP) that would be impossible to close.
|ALLMAN-PAYNE, Penny (GRN)||+10,014||440,535||14.62||1.0232|
|HANSON, Pauline (ONP)||+92,790||376,566||12.49||0.8746|
|CHISHOLM, Anthony (ALP)||+12,375||362,276||12.02||0.8414|
|STOKER, Amanda (LNP)||+25,328||277,314||9.20||0.6441|
|BRADLEY, Bernard (LCA)||+12,091||228,055||7.57||0.5297|
|PALMER, Clive (UAP)||-163,957||0||0.00||0.0000|
|Exhausted/Loss by fraction||+11,359||37,463||1.24||0.0870|
Count 260 distributed the small Green surplus, half of which flowed to Labor.
|ALLMAN-PAYNE, Penny (GRN)||-9,982||430,553||14.29||1.0000|
|HANSON, Pauline (ONP)||+410||376,976||12.51||0.8756|
|CHISHOLM, Anthony (ALP)||+4,933||367,209||12.18||0.8529|
|STOKER, Amanda (LNP)||+919||278,233||9.23||0.6462|
|BRADLEY, Bernard (LCA)||+2,731||230,786||7.66||0.5360|
|Exhausted/Loss by fraction||+989||38,452||1.28||0.0893|
The last exclusion was Bernard Bradley (Legalise Cannabis). 41.2% of his preferences exhausted, the rest splitting 22.7% to Labor, 22.4% to Hanson and Stoker 13.7%. At this point both Hanson and Chisholm were just short of a quota. With only three candidate left in the race for the final two seats, there was no need to exclude and distribute Amanda Stoker’s preferences. With the higher vote, Pauline Hanson (One Nation) was declared elected to the fifth vacancy and Anthony Chisholm (Labor)to the sixth with Amanda Stoker (LNP) defeated in her quest for re-election.
Only 4.43% of the vote (0.31 quotas) had exhausted preferences by the end of the count.
|HANSON, Pauline (ONP)||+51,742||428,718||14.22||0.9957|
|CHISHOLM, Anthony (ALP)||+52,274||419,483||13.92||0.9743|
|STOKER, Amanda (LNP)||+31,631||309,864||10.28||0.7197|
|BRADLEY, Bernard (LCA)||-230,786||0||0.00||0.0000|
|Exhausted/Loss by fraction||+95,139||133,591||4.43||0.3103|